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Old 03-31-2008, 11:13 PM   #16 (permalink)
Katczinsky
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Quote:
Originally Posted by garysher View Post

How about Ohio??
You mean her 10% lead here? Much of that was gained by lying to Ohioans about NAFTA anyway.

Quote:
Many of Obama's victories have been close with only a tiny margin
Actually, Clinton only won with significant margins (10%+) in a few states (Ohio, Arkansas, etc.), whilst Obama lead with significant margins (10%+, and even some reaching greater than 30%) in as many as 25 states.

Most of Clinton's victories were by single digit margins. The vast majority of Obama's victories were by margins of greater than 10%.



Quote:
Hillary has the backing of the Governor of Pa Ed Rendell, and all the polls show her to have a comfortable lead.
This is true, but this fact is inconsequential for Clinton's bid for the nomination unless all of the remaining states poll the same way. In actuality, Obama is polling well in the two next most significant states (North Carolina and Indiana).

Quote:
The more big states vote for Hillary the more the superdelegates may have to re-think their positions.

The margin between them is so small Hillary would be making a huge mistake if she abandoned all those supporters and the millions of voters who have given her 1500 delegates so far.

I still think a joint ticket is the right answer.
Whether or not a joint ticket is the 'right answer' is irrelevant as long as such a ticket remains highly unlikely. But who knows, the terrain might be completely different by the time some diplomacy is going on in the national convention.

Such a ticket has it's positive and negatives. On the one hand, you might avoid some unnecessary division among Democrats, but you may also risk losing a lot of independents and conservatives by putting Clinton on the ticket. You may also give the conservatives of the Republican Party a reason to vote for McCain.

Quote:
Fortunately, either one should be able to beat the venerable but geriatric John McCain and his more-of-the-same Bush lite message.
That I'm not too sure about. Obama continues to poll pretty sufficient against McCain but Hillary is often either at a dead 50-50 or loses to McCain. I don't care what you think about Hillary, you're just going to have to accept this political reality of American politics; there are entire machines dedicated toward Hillary-hate, on both sides of the isle.
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Economic Left/Right: -9.50
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