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Old 04-15-2008, 11:30 PM   #8 (permalink)
nuttyjoe
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Quote:
Originally Posted by mikelew007 View Post
I'll bet he really does. IF Hillary becomes the nominee, then she will be eaten alive by a united Republican Party voting practically monolithically for McCain. I know a few Republicans/conservatives in my own family who actually like Barack and who might break away and not vote for McCain if Obama secures the nomination, yes "Obamicans" are very real. Conversely, those same people who like Obama REALLY don't like Clinton and will vote for McCain if she gets the Dem. nomination. Of course this is just a viewpoint relative to my own experiences and I don't know if the same holds true for others.

But I'm just sayin...
I think we're back to my original point in the Democratic race, Mike. Hillary must win in Pennslyvania; and win big. Many people say that a win is a win; but when we're talking about proportional delegation division, the only way she is going to cut into Obama's lead is to have an overwhelming win-one that must be at least ten percentage points or more. Anything less really won't help her. And she will then be under much more pressure from Party leadership to step aside. More superdelegates will start jumping to Obama within the week after Pennslyvania's primary if Hillary doesn't win; and win big.
It's unlikely- given her originally large lead going into this state's primary- but a loss will sink her completely. I think she knows this; but that a large win will give her time to hope the DNC can give her Florida and Michigan. She's pretty much running out of cards to play.