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Originally Posted by nuttyjoe  You were exactly right about the numbers, Gary. Good Job! I still disagree with your analysis, though. It's not about whether Obama can win in the certain states he didn't win against Clinton. He won't be running against her in November (or she against him; if she should somehow get the nomination). He would be running against McCain- Democrat versus Republican. I do not believe that the last eight years will get the GOP any brownie points with the voting public. I still believe the Republicans have lost the White House for the next sixteen years at least.
So Hillary has survived to fight another day. She definitely does have the willpower to stay on; I'll give her that. This was good for her to win, but bad for her in that I think it was really not large enough to change any minds as far as any superdelegates are concerned. So, I guess this means that we must have the same scenario for the next primaries; North Carolina and Indiana. Any predictions, Gary? | Obama can probably win in Indiana and North Carolina. Hillary only gained 24 delegates over Obama, which does not clearly cut into the total delegate count, of which Obama is still 130 delegates ahead. Hillary would have had to gain well more than 55% of her tally, like to 65%.
It still a tough uphill climb, and Obama only needs 311 more delegates to claim the nominat, while Hillary needs 441 delegates. Time is running out for Hillary.
Take a look at pre-delegate count for states that have not voted yet. Election Center 2008: Delegate Scorecard - Elections & Politics news from CNN.com Thy word is a lamp unto my feet, and a light unto my path. Psalm 119:105 |